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Subprime Auto ABS: Focus on Fundamentals, Not Fear
The subprime consumer sector has come a long way since the dark days of the financial crisis. Borrowers, lenders and[…]
Don’t Give Up on Bank Stocks Just Yet
US bank shares are in a bear market. The KBW Bank Index fell 20% in 2018. That’s much worse than[…]
Let’s Get Technical: The Story Behind the Loan Market Swoon
Wary investor sentiment, seasonal trading activity in loans, and a big institutional seller have combined to drive down loan prices[…]
Year in Review: Our Most Popular Posts of 2018
To wrap up 2018, we took a look back at the year’s most popular blog posts. Not surprisingly, they reflect[…]
Can’t Build Them? Join Them: Rising Home Prices & Lack of Construction
There’s a tug of war brewing between housing costs and consumer budgets in the US. Single-family home prices have risen[…]
Nothing to See Here: Rising 10-Year Treasury Yields in Context
While the recent backup in 10-year Treasury yields may look stark on short-term charts (namely 1-year and 2-year charts), the[…]
Is Foreign Demand for US Corporate Bonds at an Inflection Point?
The US corporate bond market reached a record $8 trillion at the end of 2017. The high followed a wave[…]
Three Strategies to Prepare for Rising Volatility
We all knew volatility couldn’t stay low forever, even with solid global growth and low inflation. Rising volatility is common[…]
China’s Bond Markets – Two Reasons Why the Year of the Dog Might Have Some Bite
The Year of the Dog may not be known for being the most auspicious, but for China’s local, renminbi-denominated bond[…]
How the Spike in Volatility Punctured the “Short Vol” Trade
For most investors, it’s pretty unsettling to hear that the market’s “fear gauge” is suddenly on a tear. But that’s[…]
Don’t Cry for the Argentine Peso
The Argentine peso has depreciated by more than 40% since 2015, but I believe it is due for stabilization and[…]
Avoid Being “Burned” by Bank Loans
When talking with potential investors, a refrain we often hear is “I was burned by bank loans before, and now[…]
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