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Friday Fact: Indicators of a Hot Economy
It may be chilly outside this spring, but two data releases this week indicate that the US economy is running[…]
Friday Fact: Consumers Are Divided on Business Conditions
I noticed an interesting result in the Conference Board’s most recent Index of Consumer Confidence in March. The percentage of[…]
Volatility Returns in a Big Way: Our Reaction
Volatility returned in a big way earlier this week. Over the past few trading sessions, equity market volatility as measured[…]
Friday Fact: Federal Deficit on Track to Pass $1 Trillion in FY 2019
The federal deficit hit $779 billion in fiscal year 2018. This was the highest level since the $1.09 trillion deficit[…]
Trump’s Tax Proposal: The Opening Move in a Poker Game
Think of this as the opening move in a poker game. It’s unlikely that any of these proposals will come[…]
Political Games in the EU: Playing Chicken
Fans of the “Fast & Furious” movies know the game of chicken. Two cars race toward each other, each driver[…]
The S&P 500’s Extended Bull Run: Can It Last?
The current equity bull market has been chugging along, enjoying unusually low volatility in recent quarters. The S&P 500® Index[…]
Don’t Give Up on Bank Stocks Just Yet
US bank shares are in a bear market. The KBW Bank Index fell 20% in 2018. That’s much worse than[…]
Let’s Get Technical: The Story Behind the Loan Market Swoon
Wary investor sentiment, seasonal trading activity in loans, and a big institutional seller have combined to drive down loan prices[…]
China’s Bond Markets – Two Reasons Why the Year of the Dog Might Have Some Bite
The Year of the Dog may not be known for being the most auspicious, but for China’s local, renminbi-denominated bond[…]
Global Banks – Who Is Swimming Naked?
The outlook for most large banks around the world remains favorable – one reason is that many global banks have[…]
European Banks: Be Mindful of Risks in 2017
European banks seem to be on an upward trajectory – although improvements are likely to come at a slow pace[…]
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