Insights

Our professionals offer deep knowledge and experience in a diverse range of global asset classes and market sectors. Tap into our investment insights to stay informed with timely analysis and thoughtful commentary.

Filters
Back

Filters:

Clear All
Category
Type
Team
Series

All Insights

Economic & Cycle Views
Shake
November 1, 2021•2 min read

Shake, Rattle and Roll: Is the Growth/Inflation Dance Out of Step?

Chief Economist Brian Horrigan shares his latest thoughts on current growth and inflation dynamics.
Alpha Engine Perspectives
Three Reasons the Fed May Deliver a More Aggressive Tightening Cycle
October 29, 2021•5 min read

Three Reasons the Fed May Deliver a More Aggressive Tightening Cycle

Michael Gladchun shares why he thinks this cycle has three distinctive features that could propel a faster pace and greater[…]

Relative Return
Economic & Cycle Views
What’s Holding Back Employment in the United States?
August 18, 2021•2 min read

What’s Holding Back Employment in the United States?

Chief Economist Brian Horrigan looks at the pandemic’s lingering effect on employment and shares his outlook for the months ahead.
Economic & Cycle Views
Be Cautious About Upcoming Data
March 18, 2021•3 min read

Be Cautious About Upcoming Data

We are entering a period when data may be on a wild ride. Brian Horrigan shares why he thinks market[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
Fiscal Policy: Veering Left and Moving Fast
February 22, 2021•4 min read

Fiscal Policy: Veering Left and Moving Fast

Congressional leaders are aiming to pass a $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus package by mid-March. This approach is not without risks.
Alpha Engine Perspectives
Can The US Consumer Stay Healthy This Winter?
December 23, 2020•3 min read

Can The US Consumer Stay Healthy This Winter?

A K-shaped recovery is an uneven one in which some industries and some groups get left behind. That is what[…]

Mortgage & Structured Finance
Economic & Cycle Views
Key Changes Shaping a New Path for China’s Recovery
December 14, 2020•3 min read

Key Changes Shaping a New Path for China’s Recovery

Many market participants expect major economies to follow a path to recovery similar to China’s, but we see three key[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
US Consumers Appearing Less Confident
September 2, 2020•2 min read

US Consumers Appearing Less Confident

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index suggests that consumers are not feeling optimistic. Could this mean the US recovery is[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
Credit Repair: What's Different This Time?
July 8, 2020•4 min read

Credit Repair: What’s Different This Time?

As we enter credit repair, we are wary of using the GFC as a benchmark for the path to recovery.[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
Maybe Inflation Didn't Ease: A Look at Trimmed-Mean Inflation
December 24, 2019•3 min read

Maybe Inflation Didn’t Ease: A Look at Trimmed-Mean Inflation

Core PCE inflation year over year eased from a recent high of 2.04% last July to 1.55% in March. This[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
US Fed Ends Quantitative Easing: 5 Insights from the FOMC Statement
December 24, 2019•3 min read

FOMC September Decision: Setting Up a Hike

To almost no one’s surprise, the FOMC changed no policy rates, and it kept its policy concerning its balance sheet[…]
Economic & Cycle Views
Data Consistent with Another US Mini-Cycle
December 24, 2019•2 min read

Data Consistent with Another US Mini-Cycle

In our view, indicators suggest the economy is in the downturn phase of a mini-cycle—a period of slower economic growth[…]