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Surprises from the First Half of 2022: Russia’s Unexpected Invasion of Ukraine
Though the war in Ukraine has faded from the headlines in recent weeks, we still believe it is an area[…]
Surprises from the First Half of 2022: Positive Trends in EM Despite Headwinds
You might think these headwinds would be broadly negative for EM debt, but we see bright spots within the EM[…]
Surprises from the First Half of 2022: Value Reemerging in TIPS
Concerns regarding inflation are almost everywhere you look—unless you happen to be looking at the Treasury bond market.
Surprises from the First Half of 2022: A Rare Macro and Geopolitical Period for the Bank Loan Market
Exceptional circumstances roiled the loan market in the first half. It's impossible to say what will happen next, but the[…]
Surprises from the First Half of 2022: Underperformance of European Corporate Bond Spreads
The current spread differential between European and US corporate spreads have us considering a shift in our thinking.
Reading the Housing Sector: The Good, the Bad and the Surprising
We think the housing sector should hold steady with good structural trends, a potentially bad environment for housing bargains and[…]
Taking the Consumer’s Temperature
With consumer behavior under a magnifying glass, Portfolio Manager Jennifer Thomas shares her assessment of the US consumer.
Chart of the Week: Is the US Dollar Poised to Enter a Bear Market?
US dollar cycles last an average of six to nine years, and we are approaching the tenth year of this[…]
Don’t Discount Structural Housing Trends
While the rise in interest rates may slow the US housing sector from its recent heights, Stephen LaPlante discusses why[…]
Secured Funding Markets: Fed Acts but No Quick Fix
It became abruptly apparent in September, when overnight repo rates surged to near 10%, that liquidity in the banking system[…]
What the Yield Curve Is Saying About Monetary Policy
Is a regime shift in monetary policy imminent? One might think so looking at the yield-curve flattening trend—the 5-year and[…]
Treasury Liquidity on the Rebound
It’s amazing what you can achieve with a budget of $75 billion per day. Since mid-March, the Federal Reserve has[…]
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